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Who Will Be the Next President in 2022?

Pulse Asia: Sara Duterte tops list of possible 2022 presidential bets


Davao City Mayor Sara Duterte is the leading contender for the presidential race in the 2022 national elections, the result of a survey conducted by Pulse Asia showed.

Results of the survey, which was released on Thursday, showed that 26% of the 2,400 respondents would vote for Duterte should she decide to run in the 2022 polls.

She was followed by former senator Ferdinand “Bongbong” Marcos and Senator Grace Poe who both received the support of 14% of respondents.

Manila Mayor Francisco “Isko Moreno” Domagoso got 12% while Senator Manny Pacquiao got 10%.

Meanwhile, 8% of the respondents said they would vote for Vice President Leni Robredo while 4% picked Senators Panfilo Lacson and Christopher “Bong” Go.

For vice president, Domagoso emerged as the top contender, followed by Duterte, Senate President Vicente Sotto, Marcos, Pacquiao, Go, and Sorsogon Governor Francis Escudero.

Senate bets

Pacquiao topped the list for possible senatorial bets, garnering 62.1 rating.

He was followed by broadcaster Raffy Tulfo and Mayor Duterte with 54.3% and 50.9% ratings, respectively.

Moreno also emerged as one of the preferred Senate bets (48.4%) with Sorsogon Governor Francis Escudero (46.7%) and Taguig Representative Alan Peter Cayetano (46%).

Completing the top 12 are Antique Representative Loren Legarda with 45.6%, Marcos with 41.8%, Senator Panfilo Lacson with 38.2%, Senator Juan Miguel Zubiri with 35.7%, Senator Sherwin Gatchalian with 28.1%, and former Senator Jinggoy Estrada with 28%.

The survey, which was conducted on Nov. 23 to Dec. 23, asked 2,400 Filipino adults who they will vote for President, Vice President, and senators if the May 2022 elections were held today.

The survey has a ± 2% error margin at the 95% confidence level.

Subnational estimates for each of the geographic areas covered in the survey (i.e., Metro Manila, the rest of Luzon, Visayas, and Mindanao) have a ± 4% error margin, also at a 95% confidence level.


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    OVP spox on Pulse Asia survey: ‘Masyado pang maaga para sa pamumulitika’


    It’s too early for politicking and jostling for the 2022 elections, the Office of the Vice President (OVP) said Friday.

    The OVP issued the statement after results of a recent Pulse Asia survey showed Vice President Leni Robredo ranking only sixth in the list of possible 2022 presidential bets.

    OVP spokesman Barry Gutierrez said Robredo’s office is not “paying much mind” to the said early survey results since the elections are still “a long way away.”

    “Right, now the VP is still focused on working to help our Filipinos get past the crisis of COVID-19, and recover from the calamities of the past few months,” he said in a statement.

    “Masyado pang maaga para sa pamumulitika at pakikipag-gitgitan para sa eleksyon,” (It’s too early for politicking and jostling for the 2022 elections) Gutierrez added.

    Results of the Pulse Asia survey showed Davao City Mayor Sara Duterte as the top contender in the 2022 national elections, with 26% of 2,400 individuals surveyed saying that they will vote for her if the presidential elections were to be held now.

    Duterte was followed by former Senator Ferdinand “Bongbong” Marcos and Senator Grace Poe, who both received the support of 14% of the respondents.

    Robredo only came sixth in the list, with an 8% rating.

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    Remove my name from choices of prexy bets, Sara to poll firms


    Despite topping the recent Pulse Asia yearend survey results on possible Presidential 2022 candidates, City Mayor Inday Sara Duterte remained impassive.

    “The Presidential Elections of 2022 is farthest from the minds of many Filipinos as we focus firmly on how to survive the economic and humanitarian crisis still in front of us as we continue to battle the effects of Covid-19 on our people and our country. Nevertheless, I respectfully suggest to survey organizations to remove my name from the choices,” said Duterte on Friday when asked to comment on the results released shortly before New Year’s eve.

     The President’s daughter, who bested 10 others on the list that includes named politicians, had been in the forefront of the campaign to bring down cases of Covid-19 infection and had ordered intensive monitoring migrants from the southern corridors following reports of new Covid-19 variant cases in Malaysia.

     While Mayor Inday refused to be distracted from her present priorities, the political climate has started to simmer in the Davao region with some members of Hugpong ng Pagbabago are excited about the results. 

     Political pillar in Davao de Oro, former governor and now senior provincial Board Member Arturo “Chongkee” Uy, said, “No doubt she will be the next president-

    considering she has not yet announced her candidacy and not going around yet, mataas masyado rating nya-kailangan yung vp nya -meron din hatak (Her rating is very high, all she needs now is for her vice president who can also muster support).”

     Mindanao gave Mayor Inday a whopping 58 percent, followed by Visayas (29 percent), Metro Manila (16 percent), and the rest of Luzon (12 percent).

     She also topped it in all sectors with class ABC at 27%, D with 26%, and E at 23%. 

     It may be recalled that months back, Mayor Inday told the media that she will think about her political options early in 2021, she had been mum about it because of the Covid-19 pandemic.  

     President Rodrigo Duterte discouraged her from running for President. 

     She said she hasn’t talked to her father about the recent Pulse Asia survey result. 

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    Long road ahead, but pro-admin bets lead in early poll for 2022 elections 

    The country's next elections is set more than a year from now but results of a survey has shown pro-administration individuals leading the list to succeed President Rodrigo Duterte in 2022. 

    Surveys as early as this rarely predict the outcome of the elections, with many happenings still to transpire as the political arena unfolds in the coming months.

    For one, then Senate President Manny Villar was leading in the surveys for the 2010 elections before then Sen. Benigno "Noynoy" Aquino III entered the picture in September 2009. 

    In the 2016 presidential polls, it was then Vice President Jejomar Binay who was the early frontrunner, but Sen. Grace Poe later on followed and then Davao City Mayor Rodrigo Duterte overtaking the surveys up to the election date.

    In Pulse Asia's findings, there were top five names that emerged: Davao City Mayor Sara Duterte (26 points), former Sen. Bongbong Marcos and Sen. Grace Poe (14 points), Manila Mayor Isko Moreno (12 points) and Sen. Manny Pacquiao (10 points). 

    Vice President Leni Robredo was the sole opposition candidate who emerged in the list with 8 points, at sixth place. 

    Names for vice president, which is elected separately from the chief executive, was also not far: Moreno (17%), Duterte (16%), Senate President Vicente Sotto III (14%), Marcos and Pacquiao (11%).

    While the results had not been made public yet by the polling center, it nonetheless confirmed the study which only surfaced on social media through a Twitter post by historian Manolo Quezon III on Thursday.

    It ran from the period of November 23 to December 2 and had 2,400 respondents. The study's margin of error was not immediately clear. 

    Those who took part in it were asked: "Of the people on this list, whom would you vote for as president of the Philippines if the May 2022 elections were held today and they were candidates?"

    Pulse Asia also gave respondents the chance to mention names not included in the list.

    Voter preferrence in regions

    If the results were to be classified per location, Marcos with 20% would lead in Metro Manila, which in the 2019 elections had seven million registered voters.

    The son of the late dictator Ferdinand is followed by Moreno, who is in his first term as local chief executive of the Philippine capital at 18%. 

    Duterte trails with 16%. while Poe and Pacquiao both have 12%.

    In Luzon, Poe and Moreno are tied with 17%, Marcos with 16%, Duterte with 12% and Pacquiao with 9%. 

    The president's daughter yielded 29% in Visayas, Poe with 15%, Marcos and Pacquiao with 13% each, and Moreno with 9%. 

    Mindanao had 58% for Duterte in the region she hails from, leaving other possible bets with single digits: Pacquiao with 9%, Poe with 8%, Marcos with 7% and Moreno with a dismal 2%.

    While at sixth place, Robredo was third in Luzon with 13%, in Metro Manila with 7%, Visayas with 6% and Mindanao with 2%.

    Standing in social classes

    In classes of society, Duterte led with 27% from ABC, 26% from D and 23% from E.

    Marcos was second in ABC with 21%, while Pacquiao and Poe both with 10% and Moreno with 8%.

    In Class D, Marcos and Poe are tied in the second spot with 14%, Moreno with 13% and Pacquiao with 10%.

    Poe, meanwhile, is second in Class E with 18%, Pacquiao following with 14%, Marcos with 11% and Moreno with 9%. Robredo stood at 8% in each of the said classes.

    In the Senate, the following names with their ranks have floated in the said Pulse Asia survey: 

    • Pacquiao (1st)
    • Broadcaster Raffy Tulfo (2nd-3rd), 
    • Mayor Sara Duterte (2nd-4th), 
    • Mayor Isko Moreno (3rd-7th)
    • Sorsogon Gov. Francis Escudero (4th-7th)
    • Taguig-Pateros Rep. Alan Peter Cayetano (4th-7th)
    • Antique Rep. Loren Legarda (4th-8th)
    • Bongbong Marcos (7th-9th)
    • Sen. Panfilo Lacson (8th-10th)
    • Sen. Juan Miguel Zubiri (9th-10th)
    • Sen. Sherwin Gatchalian (11th-16th)
    • Jinggoy Estrada (11th-16th)
    • Sen. Francis Pangilinan (11th-16th)
    • Sen. Risa Hontiveros (11th-16th)
    • Sen. Richard Gordon (11th-16th)
    • DPWH Sec. Mark Villar (11th-20th)

    The next presidential elections could stand as a referendum of the Duterte administration that has figured in a series of controversies in 2020 alone, depending on who the president would endorse as his candidate. 

    It is set in May 2022, with the filing of candidacies usually taking place by October before the said year and the campaign season by February of the next year.

    With the ongoing coronavirus pandemic, changes are expected on the conduct of elections in the Philippines such as campaigning with mass gatherings prohibited as well with the actual voting come election day.

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    Imee Marcos sponsors hybrid elections bill


    Senator Imee Marcos is pushing for a hybrid mode of manual and automated elections, citing a supposed "lack of transparency" in the current voting system.

    The senator, who chairs the Senate Committee on Electoral Reforms and People's Participation, endorsed for plenary approval Senate Bill 1950 or the Hybrid Election Act during Monday's session.

    The bill seeks the conduct of a hybrid election "to ensure transparency and credibility of the electoral process." It consolidates previous bills on hybrid polling which she and Senate President Vicente Sotto III previously filed.

    The proposed system will still use appropriate technology for voting, counting, canvassing, and transmisison of election results, but manual counting will also be utilized in precincts, the bill read.

    Marcos said the fully automated election system which has been used in 2010 has been marred by supposed vote counting irregularities such as early transmission of votes, foreign access in election servers, installation of an additional device known as a "queuing server" in the middle of the transmission process, script change in the middle of the live transmission of results, and incomplete transmissions of results.

    "The need for a random manual audit under the AES points to its lack of transparency in reading ballots. Manual vote counting will, at the very outset, ensure transparency and the security of our votes," Marcos said.

    She noted: "How do we know that our votes are counted correctly by a fully automated election system? We don't."

    Under the proposal, the printing of ballots will no longer be outsourced but will be confined to the National Printing Office. A bar code, which can be scanned to project a ballot's digital image and authenticate it, will be a new feature on official ballots. There will also be an automatic recount if a discrepancy of at least 2% occurs between vote tallies done manually and transmitted electronically.

    Meanwhile, Marcos noted that the procurement process of equipment and materials would still be "intact," despite reports that she was the one who attempted to waive safeguards on poll equipment in the 2021 General Appropriations Bill.

    Senate finance committee chair Sonny Angara previously said the controversial provision, which authorizes the Commission on Elections to disregard requirements and safeguards provided under Section 12 of the Automated Election Law, was already removed in the bicameral version of the bill.

    Marcos did not directly address the allegation during her sponsorship speech. But in an interview with CNN Philippines on November 30, she said she was against the proposed waiving of of safeguards, calling it a "dangerous precedent."

    Election lawyer Emil Marañon on Monday warned against a hybrid system, noting that the Commission on Elections, Parish Pastoral Council for Responsible Voting, Congress and civil society organizations have found it "costlier, time-consuming, and error-prone" after an actual test held in 2015.

    On Sunday, vice presidential spokesperson Barry Gutierrez said that it would be "ironic" for the Senate electoral reforms chair to have pushed to waive poll safeguards herself, alluding to allegations of electoral fraud when late dictator Ferdinand Marcos, her father, assumed the presidency.

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