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Coronavirus pandemic "could be over by June" if countries act, says Chinese adviser

ArnoldZArnoldZ Member PEx Influencer ⭐⭐⭐
edited March 13 in Local and Foreign Issues

Coronavirus pandemic "could be over by June" if countries act, says Chinese adviser

By Kevin Yao and Min Zhang
ReutersMarch 11, 2020

By Kevin Yao and Min Zhang

BEIJING (Reuters) - The global coronavirus pandemic could be over by June if countries mobilize to fight it, a senior Chinese medical adviser said on Thursday, as China declared the peak had passed there and new cases in Hubei fell to single digits for the first time.

Around two-thirds of global cases of the coronavirus have been recorded in China's central Hubei province, where the virus first emerged in December. But in recent weeks the vast majority of new cases have been outside China.

Chinese authorities credit strict measures they have taken, including placing Hubei under near total lockdown, with preventing big outbreaks in other cities, and say other countries should learn from their efforts.

"Broadly speaking, the peak of the epidemic has passed for China," said Mi Feng, a spokesman for the National Health Commission. "The increase of new cases is falling."

Zhong Nanshan, the government's senior medical adviser, told reporters that as long as countries take the outbreak seriously and are prepared to take firm measures, it could be over worldwide in a matter of months.

"My advice is calling for all countries to follow WHO instructions and intervene on a national scale," he said. "If all countries could get mobilized, it could be over by June."

Speaking to U.N. Secretary-General Antonio Guterres, President Xi Jinping similarly expressed confidence, state television reported.

"After hard work, China has shown a trend of continuous improvement in epidemic prevention and control," the report cited Xi as saying.

"I am confident that the Chinese people will be able to overcome this epidemic and achieve their intended economic and social development goals."

Zhong, an 83-year-old epidemiologist renowned for helping combat the SARS outbreak in 2003, said viruses in the same family typically became less active in warm months.

"My estimate of June is based on scenarios that all countries take positive measures."

Later on Thursday, Zhong held a teleconference with a group of U.S. medical experts, including from Harvard University, state television reported.

Zhong and his team shared their experiences of quickly testing and containing the virus, difficulties in treatment, and cooperation in clinical research, the report added.

The United States is now facing its own virus crisis as the number of infected people rises.


With the marked slowdown of the spread of the virus in China, more businesses have reopened, with authorities cautiously easing strict containment measures.

Hubei province announced a further loosening of travel restrictions and will also allow some industries to resume production.

Hubei's economy, driven by manufacturing and trade, including a sizable auto sector in the provincial capital, Wuhan, had been virtually shut down since Jan. 23.

While the virus is spreading quickly globally, its progress in China has slowed markedly in the past seven days. In all, 15 new cases were recorded in mainland China on Wednesday, down from 24 the day before. Seven of the new cases were outside Hubei, including six imported from abroad.

While only 85 of the cases in China have come from abroad, the rising number of such incidences has prompted authorities to shift their focus on containing the risk of imported cases.

The total number of cases recorded in mainland China was 80,793. As of Tuesday, 62,793 people had recovered and been discharged from hospital, or nearly 80% of the infections.

In Wuhan, the epicenter of the outbreak, 34,094 patients had been discharged from hospitals, but over half were still under observation at so-called "recovery stops" - quarantine venues repurposed from hotels and student dormitories.

Hubei's health authority said the post-discharge quarantine was a precautionary measure, after a few discharged patients tested positive again.

As of the end of Wednesday, the death toll in mainland China had reached 3,169, up by 11 from the previous day. Hubei accounted for 10 of the new deaths, including seven in Wuhan.

China is focusing on restarting factories and businesses hit by the containment policies. Factory activity plunged to its worst level on record in February, and while more businesses have reopened in recent weeks as containment measures have been eased, analysts do not expect activity to return to normal until April.

Airlines have been hit particularly hard. China's airlines reported total losses of 20.96 billion yuan ($3 billion) in February. The total number of airline passengers fell 84.5% year-on-year last month, China's aviation regulator said.


"...if countries act, says Chinese adviser...”

Act? What act? Every government is doing what has to be done because of your secrecy and lying!
I doubt very much if no one thinks you're lying again!


  • hellraiser2.hellraiser2. Registered User PEx Rookie ⭐

    Campaign to 'thank' Xi Jinping flatly rejected by Wuhan citizens

    TOKYO -- Chinese President Xi Jinping entered the city of Wuhan on Tuesday for the first time since the coronavirus outbreak, eager to show the world that the country had turned a corner in its battle with the new virus.

    Yet, despite the sharp reduction in new cases, Wuhan was buzzing for a separate reason.

    Citizens were furious over a speech given four days prior by Wang Zhonglin, the city's newly appointed Chinese Communist Party chief. In a speech to senior local officials, Wang, a loyal ally of the president, called for a "gratitude education campaign," under which Wuhan citizens would be taught to express their thanks to Xi and the party for their efforts in tackling the illness.

    Wang was attempting to create a favorable atmosphere and lay the groundwork for Xi's upcoming inspection tour; he did not expect the massive outpouring of anger and frustration toward the proposal.

    There were so many critical online posts that censorship authorities did not have enough hands on deck to delete them all. "We are still in the midst of the battle against the deadly virus," some of the voices said. "People are dying every day," said others. "Food prices are continuing to rise," netizens wrote.

    Fearing that if he pushed ahead with the gratitude campaign the criticism could be squarely directed at his boss, Wang quickly shelved the plan. Instead, he decided on a safer option, a campaign to express gratitude to Wuhan citizens for their contributions, enduring the hardship of a lockdown that was imposed on Jan. 23.

     President Xi points out vegetables on sale on the side of a street in Wuhan on March 10.   © Xinhua/ Kyodo

    Wang arrived in Wuhan in February as Xi's choice to replace Ma Guoqiang, who was dismissed for his failed initial response to the coronavirus.

    But Wang's excessive loyalty to Xi, symbolized by the ill-planned political campaign, rubbed Wuhan's 11 million citizens the wrong way.

    One of the leading critics of the campaign was Wuhan-based author Fang Fang, a 64-year-old whose real name is Wang Fang. "The government should put an end to its arrogance and humbly express gratitude to its master -- the millions of people in Wuhan," she wrote in her widely followed online diary about life in the locked-down metropolis.

    Her diary, which is uploaded to Chinese social media on a daily basis, has affected the sleeping habits of many Chinese. Followers stay up late to read her posts before they are deleted by authorities in the early morning. She is said to have a 1 million-strong following.

    Sometime late Monday night or early Tuesday morning she uploaded a post saying that if anybody were to take responsibility for the handling of the coronavirus, "the party secretary and the director of the Central Hospital of Wuhan should be the first to go."

    That hospital is where whistleblower ophthalmologist Li Wenliang worked. The young doctor, one of the first to raise concern about the mysterious illness, was punished for transmitting the information at the end of last year. He himself later caught the virus and died, becoming a martyr among Chinese citizens.

    Fang, like Li, graduated from the prestigious Wuhan University.

    Adding to the tragedy, another eye doctor at the hospital died on Sunday, bringing the total number of doctors who have succumbed to the virus there to four. More doctors are said to be in serious condition at the hospital.

    Fang angrily urged the hospital executives to atone for their sins by stepping down.

    "The battle against the coronavirus will continue without you," she wrote to the secretary and director. "Nobody will be troubled if you're gone."

    That she writes so candidly and courageously, in tones similar to editorials in major international newspapers, is remarkable in a country that curtails free speech.

    Fang's diary posts are sometimes deleted by censorship authorities due to their frankness. But under the current circumstances, knowing that her venting is representative of the common sentiment, the government is not bold enough to ban her blog outright.

    And thus the midnight owls stay up to consume her writing, in the few hours that authorities allow for free speech.

     The Chinese public regards Dr. Li Wenliang as a whistleblower. He died in early February of the virus he tried to warn his peers about.   © Getty Images

    At around the same time as the botched gratitude education campaign, another incident was taking place on a Wuhan street.

    Citizens cooped up indoors desperately yelled out at a group of central government leaders walking under a cluster of housing complexes. "It's fake, it's fake, everything is fake," they shouted, referring to the briefing that local officials were presenting to one guest in particular, Vice Premier Sun Chunlan.

    Sun, a female member of the powerful Politburo, was being shown around a residential area in Wuhan that had been cleaned up before the visit and made to appear as if plenty of food was being delivered to the residents.

    "We are being made to buy expensive foods!" residents shouted from upstairs.

    Video of the incident went viral on social media and strangely enough was not fully deleted.

    "The video was not deleted because it was rather useful for the central government," one veteran party member said. "By pointing out the lies, Wuhan citizens were appealing directly to the central government about local bureaucrats who were only attempting to save appearances. Seeking help from the central government, relying on its authority, is not bad for Beijing."

     Vice Premier Sun Chunlan got an earful during her trip to Wuhan. At one point residents of a cluster of housing projects yelled out to her, "It's fake, it's fake, everything is fake."   © Xinhua/ AP

    As the central government treads carefully, trying to manipulate public opinion while avoiding an outburst of anger, the limits of party propaganda are becoming clear.

    A short while earlier, a book touting Chinese leadership's great achievements in fighting the virus was published.

    "A Great Power's Battle Against Epidemic" demonstrates the "strategic foresight and outstanding leadership ability" of Xi, state-run China Central Television explained.

    But in a matter of days, the book was pulled from bookstores across the land, after it faced a barrage of criticism for praising Xi even as the virus outbreak has yet to be brought under control.

    The party is also trying its highhandedness abroad.

    In early March, state-run Xinhua News Agency published, with fanfare, a commentary to the effect that "the world should thank China" for its contributions to the fight against the coronavirus. It claimed that China made huge sacrifices through its lockdowns and various measures, buying time for the world to react.

    It is flatly wrong. The deadly virus spread around the world precisely because Chinese tourists unknowingly carried it with them, all while the horrifying reality of the epidemic was being kept under wraps in China.

    China cannot attempt a gratitude education campaign on an international audience at a time when the U.S. as well as countries in Asia, the Middle East and Europe struggle to contain the crisis, which has killed more than 4,300 people around the world.

    All of Italy is on lockdown. In the U.S., the Dow Jones Industrial Average on Monday lost more than 2,000 points, its biggest one-day point fall on record.

     A woman places food to dry outside on a laundry rack by the window of a building in Wuhan.   © Reuters

    Why is Beijing pushing for global gratitude? The answer is simple.

    The Chinese leadership is facing a governance crisis. It is not easy to see from the outside. At first glance, it seems that China has passed the peak of the coronavirus epidemic and restored calm. But whether Beijing's response to the crisis can stand the test of time and history remains to be seen.

    Xi wants to declare victory in the "people's war" against the virus. For that he needs solid evidence, which partially explains why he went to Wuhan. Global recognition would also boost his cause.

    The president has significantly consolidated power, but despite his stature he has not had an easy time achieving undisputed results, achievements that match the weight of the 3,000 lives lost so far in Hubei Province alone.

    Walking on the streets of Wuhan, a month and a half after Premier Li Keqiang did, Xi must have felt the pain, suffering and darkness that reside in the hearts of the Wuhan people.

  • hsusonhsuson Member PEx Influencer ⭐⭐⭐
    CHINA....Sick Man of Asia

  • topnotch97topnotch97 Marley Brinx says hi PEx Influencer ⭐⭐⭐
    China...the Birthplace of Pandemics
  • masayang_pinoymasayang_pinoy Member PEx Rookie ⭐
    China...the Birthplace of Pandemics
    International community should strengthen cooperation on fighting the coronavirus pandemic instead of blaming others for being the origin of the virus.
  • topnotch97topnotch97 Marley Brinx says hi PEx Influencer ⭐⭐⭐
    well it's because China has been abusing the use of antibiotics in their livestocks.

    developing the resistance to antibiotics is bad. every virus that comes out of China has been increasing, and more resilient to antibiotics.

    as recent as last year African Swine Flu swept thru inner China. and it reached all the way as far as the South America.

    so yeah, there is plenty of reason to blame China. and they are valid.
  • hellraiser2.hellraiser2. Registered User PEx Rookie ⭐

    Duterte thanks China, the source of Coronavirus

    As the Philippines grapple from the rampaging coronavirus threat which is by this time has more than 50 confirmed cases and then hundreds of suspected cases. Coupled by the lack of medical staff, supplies and manpower to treat and test every suspected individual from every part of the country.

    The Philippine President took extra time to thank China’s President for his offer of providing any form of aid to the country. Bear in mind that this is the same country where the coronavirus started.

    To be more precise about it. The novel-coronavirus 2019 started from a marketplace in Wuhan, China and then were first noticed at around mid-December last year, but the Chinese authorities desperately suppressed the doctors and journalists in spreading the word about the contagion. However, too late is too late. The Chinese President Xi Jin Ping only announced it almost a month after when the situation in Wuhan has gotten out of hand and the virus has totally spread all over China and with many leaving towards many parts of the globe.

    So to be blunt about this. China did things too late, which resulted in the spread of the disease all over the world and for the first time in decades that a disease has been labeled as a pandemic. Had China been proactive enough and listened from its medical practitioners and experts then they should have contained the diseases faster than it can spread and quarantined suspected individuals. But for weeks, they chose to do nothing and suppressed the truth.

    You know President Xi Jinping for all of his goodness to us, wrote me a letter and said that he is willing to help. All we have to do is to ask,” Duterte said in a televised briefing

    The irony of Duterte’s strenuous expression of gratitude to China when this was in  the fact the main source of the disease and is to be blamed with for the spread of coronavirus for its weeks of inaction and deliberate attempt to censor its citizens and medical professionals.

    Also, the virus should not have been able to penetrate the country if only the government had imposed travel ban from China at the most appropriate time possible. However, they relented for far too long to the point where many have already been infected by the deadly pathogen.

    So to be exact, we shouldn’t be in the situation we’re all currently in if it were not with the glaring incompetence of our leaders. However, as always – he gets a propaganda boost with his army of trolls, fake news peddlers and of course paid survey machines.
  • hsusonhsuson Member PEx Influencer ⭐⭐⭐
    Dee Gong Xi,

    TUTA ng China
  • TrollmasterTrollmaster PEx Rookie ⭐
    China to world:  "Be thankful to China, we gave you the much needed time to prepare."


  • TrollmasterTrollmaster PEx Rookie ⭐
    matagal tagal laban ito
  • hsusonhsuson Member PEx Influencer ⭐⭐⭐
    China to world:  "Be thankful to China, we gave you the much needed time to prepare."


    Thank you Winnie the Flu 

  • thank you CCP Virus or CCP-19 virus

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