PEx Storm Watch

EgozumEgozum Member PEx Influencer ⭐⭐⭐
This is the official PEx Storm Watch Thread

Post your updates and discussions about typhoons and other relevant talks in relation to our weather.


Look at that! Five tropical depressions in the western north pacific. You don't see that very often! And lucky for us, 
11 Son-Tihn is near Vietnam
12 Ampil has already left us
13 is leaving and is now east of Taiwan
14 will not enter the PAR 
15 may enter but very briefly and will have no effect

Luckily too, none of these are expected to develop into seriously significant typhoons, since the energy is split between too many competing systems. 
But of course, the rain. The atmosphere is saturated.  https://www.facebook.com/ksweather/photos/a.645919498756037.1073741850.115294121818580/2128820197132619/?type=3&theater


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  • alter_nikalter_nik Member PEx Rookie ⭐

    WESTERN PACIFIC TROPICAL UPDATE
    0700 ChST, JULY 22, 2018
    BY: Michael Williams Sr.
    **Edited to include new TD designation for 97W INVEST**

    SUMMARY-

    SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL TO IMPACT PHILIPPINES…

    A significant tropical weather event is setting up for portions of the Philippines over the next two weeks as the current active M.J.O. (Madden-Julian Oscillation) phase runs its course. A large monsoon trough has formed over the central portion of the WPAC region, extending eastward from northern Vietnam, across the Philippines, to northeast of the Mariana Islands. The trough will be the focal point of cyclogenesis (vortex formation) during the next two weeks and will act as a focus mechanism for monsoonal moisture, particularly across the Philippine island of Luzon. The advent of repeated cyclogenesis along the trough will continue to enhance the monsoonal flow, bringing record-setting rainfall to portions of Luzon. Rainfall in excess of 300mm is possible by next Wednesday, with 2-week storm totals possibly approaching 1000mm, rivaling any previous events in terms of severity. For the purpose of this general update, exact estimates are unavailable, however, it suffices to say that residents of generally flood-prone areas in the western provinces of the northern Philippines should begin making advance preparations for a dangerous flooding event.

    CURRENT STATE

    There is currently a large monsoon trough stretched across the region. This trough extends eastward from northern Vietnam, with 11W SON-TINH at its western origination, across the northern Philippines, where TD13W Josie now spins up, and undulates generally eastward, where we find 96W INVEST getting organized southwest of the Mariana Islands, continuing to northeast of the Mariana Islands, where it terminates as 97W INVEST. Continued formation will take place along this monsoonal trough as it slowly works its way northward over the next couple of weeks. There are 5 systems currently listed with official agencies: TD11W SON-TINH; STS12W AMPIL; TD13W (Josie); 96W INVEST; and TD14W FOURTEEN. Let’s take a look at the forecast for each system.

    CURRENT SYSTEM EVALUATION

    TD11W SON-TINH

    TD11W has tried to regenerate over the past 24 hours, with land interaction hindering any significant development. Current forecasts show the system to stay weak, and loop around once again to the west and move inland to dissipate.

    STS12W AMPIL

    Tropical storm 12W AMPIL has been rather anti-climactic for its entire life span and will offer up no surprises as it continues to track to the west-northwest and into mainland China to dissipate.

    TD13W (Josie)

    This latest identified system has spun up along the monsoon trough and has tracked to the east-northeast during the past 24 hours. This track is expected to continue as this system moves out to sea and gets wrapped around a large monsoonal cyclone feature, that I will describe in more detail next.

    96W INVEST

    This weak system is currently located near the Mariana Islands. This system is forecasted to track to the north-northwest, and gain structure as a monsoonal cyclone, becoming quasi-stationary between the Philippines and the Marianas, acting as a focal point for cyclogenesis along its southern and eastern peripheries. This will be a classic monsoon cyclone presentation, and the only question now is, how long will it stay out there, and how many systems will be generated. Current model forecasts show two or three vortices spinning up during the forecast period, before the entire basin clears out around August 6th. This system will be the main energy source for the enhanced monsoonal activity expected across the Philippines.

    TD 14W FOURTEEN

    This weak disturbance is forecasted to race to the north very quickly and dissipate.

    Please stay tuned for official information regarding the upcoming significant weather event.

  • EgozumEgozum Member PEx Influencer ⭐⭐⭐

    Rain Alert Update No. 15 (As of 8:30 PM Sun July 22, 2018)

    The Southwest Monsoon (Habagat) is bringing moderate to extreme rainfall (30 to more than 100 mm) over Ilocos SurLa UnionAbraBenguetNva. EcijaPangasinanZambalesTarlac, Bataan, Pampanga, Bulacan, Metropolitan Manila, Rizal, Quezon, Laguna, Cavite, Batangas; Lubang Island,  Occidental & Oriental Mindoro, Palawan, Romblon, Palawan; Camarines Sur, Albay and Sorsogon; Aklan, Antique, Capiz, Iloilo, Guimaras, Negros Occidental and Western Samar today through Monday evening (July 23). The rains will be more frequent along the coastal and mountain slope areas of these affected provinces. Hence, the ORANGE, RED, VIOLET  Rain Alerts (Severe Weather Warnings)have been hoisted along these areas. Residents are advised to take precautionary measures against possible flash floods and landslides.

  • EgozumEgozum Member PEx Influencer ⭐⭐⭐

    Tropical Depression 13W (JOSIE) Update No. 06

    Tropical Depression 13W (JOSIE) continues to move farther away from Extreme Northern Luzon as it accelerated northeastward during the past 12 hours.  This cyclone is now currently moving along the northwestern part of the North Philippine Sea.

    24-hr Outlook: TD 13W (JOSIE) will maintain its strength and shall turn northward at a forward speed of 25 km/hr.  It shall pass over the Yaeyama Islands on or after midnight tomorrow, Monday (July 23) and exit the northwestern border of Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR) therefter.  

    The combined effects of TD 13W (JOSIE) & the enhanced Southwest Monsoon (Habagat) will continue to bring moderate to at times heavy or extreme scattered to widespread rain showers and thunderstorms across Extreme Northern Luzon, and the western sections of Northern & Central Luzon including Metro Manila, Bicol Region, CaLaBaRZon, MiMaRoPa, & Western Visayas today.

    Where is 13W (JOSIE)?As of 5:00 PM PhT today, July 22…0900 GMT. The center was located over the northwestern part of the North Philippine Sea (near 22.5°N 124.2°E), about 310 km northeast of Itbayat, Batanes or 321 km northeast of Basco, Batanes.
    How strong is it?

    Maximum Sustained Winds (10-min avg): 55 kph near the center…Gustiness: 75 kph.

    Past Movement (06 hrs)Northeast @ 28 kph, towards the Yaeyama Islands
    Potential Philippine Landfall Area(s)::  None.
    What Philippine areas will be directly affected?Moderate to Heavy Rains (30 to 100 mm expected):
    >> None.


    Damaging Winds (gusts of more than 100 km/hr expected):
    >> None.

    Potential Storm Surge/Coastal Flooding Areas+:: None.
    1-Day Forecast Outlook Summary**

    MONDAY EARLY MORNING: Passing over Yaeyama Islands on a northerly track, about to exit the northwestern border of PAR…about 209 km east of Taipei, Taiwan [2AM July 23: 24.7°N 123.6°E @ 55kph].  Confidence LevelMEDIUM.

    MONDAY AFTERNOON: Moving along the southern part of the East China Sea, already outside of PAR…about 288 km northeast of Taipei, Taiwan [2PM July 23: 27.1°N 123.3°E @ 55kph].  Confidence LevelLOW.

    **Important Note: Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, and the Day 2 and 3 Forecast Track have an average error of 100 and 250 km respectively… while the wind speed forecast error, averages 35 km/have per day. Therefore, a turn to the left or right of its future track and changes in its wind speed must be anticipated from time to time.

    Other Storm Info> 24 hr. Rain Accumulation (across its circulation): 25 to 250 mm [Light to Heavy]

    > Minimum Central Pressure: 1000 millibars (hPa)

    > Size of Circulation [Convective Cloud-Based, in diameter]: 555 km (Small)

    > Area of Damaging Winds (100 kph or more wind gusts): None.

    Additional InformationTime/Date: 5:00 PM PhT Sun July 22, 2018
    Location of Center/Eye: Near 22.5°N Lat 124.2°E Lon
    Distance 1: 401 km E of Kaohsiung, Taiwan
    Distance 2: 452 km NE of Calayan Island, Cagayan
    Distance 3: 532 km NNE of Aparri, Cagayan
    Distance 4: 602 km NNE of Tuguegarao City, Cagayan
    Distance 5: 941 km NNE of Metro Manila
    24 hr. Forecast Coordinates (Class): 27.1°N 123.3°E (TD)
    48 hr. Forecast Coordinates (Class): None



  • EgozumEgozum Member PEx Influencer ⭐⭐⭐

    Rain Alert Update No. 15 (As of 8:30 PM Sun July 22, 2018)

    The Southwest Monsoon (Habagat) is bringing moderate to extreme rainfall (30 to more than 100 mm) over Ilocos SurLa UnionAbraBenguetNva. EcijaPangasinanZambalesTarlac, Bataan, Pampanga, Bulacan, Metropolitan Manila, Rizal, Quezon, Laguna, Cavite, Batangas; Lubang Island,  Occidental & Oriental Mindoro, Palawan, Romblon, Palawan; Camarines Sur, Albay and Sorsogon; Aklan, Antique, Capiz, Iloilo, Guimaras, Negros Occidental and Western Samar today through Monday evening (July 23). The rains will be more frequent along the coastal and mountain slope areas of these affected provinces. Hence, the ORANGE, RED, VIOLET  Rain Alerts (Severe Weather Warnings)have been hoisted along these areas. Residents are advised to take precautionary measures against possible flash floods and landslides.

  • EgozumEgozum Member PEx Influencer ⭐⭐⭐

    TD ‘Josie’ out of PAR



    MANILA—Tropical depression “Josie” is now out of the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR) Monday moving northwestward to Taiwan but moderate to heavy rains will continue due to the southwest monsoon, the Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration (PAGASA) said.

    In its 8 a.m. bulletin, PAGASA said the low pressure area spotted 1,495 kilometers east of central Luzon may develop into a tropical depression within 24 to 48 hours.

    Once it enters the PAR, it will be named “Karding”.

    The southwest monsoon will bring scattered to widespread rains over Metro Manila, Ilocos region, Zambales, Bataan, Cavite, Batangas, Mindoro, Palawan and Western Visayas.

    “Josie” was estimated at 585 kms. northeast of Basco, Batanes with maximum winds of up to 55 kph and gustiness of up to 65 kph.

    Mindanao will have cloudy skies with isolated rain showers due to localized thunderstorms.

    Fishermen are advised against going out as the northern seaboard of northern Luzon will have moderate to rough seas.


  • EgozumEgozum Member PEx Influencer ⭐⭐⭐

    Josie exits PAR; Habagat to continue to bring rains

    Published July 23, 2018 9:24am 
    Updated July 23, 2018 9:43am

    Tropical Depression Josie exited the Philippine Area of Responsibility on Monday morning, but the Southwest Monsoon (Habagat) will still bring rains over many parts of the country, PAGASA said.

    At 7 a.m., the eye or center of Josie was spotted at 585 kilometers north northeast of Basco, Batanes.

    It had maximum sustained winds of 55 kph near the center and gustiness of up to 65 kph as it moved north at 20 kph.

    No Tropical Cyclone Warning Signals were raised.

    Habagat

    Meanwhile, scattered to widespread monsoon rains brought about by the Southwest Monsoon (Habagat) will be experienced in the following areas:

    • Ilocos Region
    • Zambales
    • Bataan
    • Cavite
    • Batangas
    • Mindoro
    • Palawan
    • Western Visayas.

    PAGASA said residents in these areas should take the necessary precautions against possible flooding and landslides.

    Low-pressure area

    Meanwhile, PAGASA is monitoring a low-pressure area area spotted 1,495 kilometers east of Central Luzon. 

    This LPA may develop into a tropical depression in the next 24 to 48 hours, PAGASA said.



  • Darius03Darius03 Member PEx Influencer ⭐⭐⭐
    edited July 2018
    Egozum said:

    Josie exits PAR; Habagat to continue to bring rains

    Low-pressure area

    Meanwhile, PAGASA is monitoring a low-pressure area area spotted 1,495 kilometers east of Central Luzon. 

    This LPA may develop into a tropical depression in the next 24 to 48 hours, PAGASA said.y



    Aren't heavy storms and typhoons usually downgrade to tropical depression?
  • EgozumEgozum Member PEx Influencer ⭐⭐⭐

    LPA develops into tropical depression ‘Karding’


    Updated July 24, 2018, 6:48 PM

    The low pressure area (LPA) east of the country has developed into a tropical depression on Tuesday afternoon.

    PAGASA MANILA BULLETIN


    The Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration (PAGASA) estimated the location of the tropical cyclone at 1,570 kilometers east of extreme Northern Luzon.

    It has maximum sustained winds of 55 kilometers per hour (kph) and gustiness of up to 65 kph. It is forecast to move north-northwest at 10 kph.

    Once inside the country’s area of responsibility, the weather disturbance will be given a local name of “Karding.”

    It will be the fifth cyclone to affect the country this month, following Gardo, Henry, Inday and Josie.

    PAGASA weather specialist Chris Perez said the LPA will possibly enter the country’s area of responsibility within two to three days.

    Perez said the brewing cyclone may move northwest but not make landfall over any part of the country.

    However, it could induce more monsoon rains over the western section of the country within the next few days.

    This Wednesday, Batanes, Cagayan, Isabela, Nueva Vizcaya, Quirino, Albay, Camarines Norte, Camarines Sur, Catanduanes, Masbate, Sorsogon, Biliran, Eastern Samar, Leyte, Northern Samar, Samar and Southern Leyte will have cloudy skies with scattered rain showers and thunderstorms due to the southwest monsoon and trough or advanced clouds of the cyclone.

    Meanwhile, occasional monsoon rains will continue to prevail over Metro Manila, Zambales, Bataan, Pampanga, Tarlac, Nueva Ecija, Bulacan, Aurora, Cavite, Laguna, Batangas, Rizal, Quezon, Oriental Mindoro, Occidental Mindoro, Marinduque, Palawan, Romblon, Aklan, Antique, Negros Occidental, Capiz, Guimaras and Iloilo.

    The rest of the country will have partly cloudy to cloudy skies with isolated rain showers due to localized thunderstorms.

    PAGASA reminded the public, especially those living near river channels, and in low-lying and mountainous areas to be on alert for possible flash flood or landslide, as the soil is already saturated after several days of continuous rains.


  • EgozumEgozum Member PEx Influencer ⭐⭐⭐

    #MANGKHUT is now a Typhoon (TY) as it barrels closer to Guam. The core is expected to arrive over the Northern Mariana Islands on Monday afternoon (Sept 10), with possible winds of more than 200 km/hr (Category 3 or 4).

    It is forecast to enter the eastern border of the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR) on Wednesday afternoon (Sept 12).

  • EgozumEgozum Member PEx Influencer ⭐⭐⭐

    WEATHER ADVISORY | Nakapasok na ng Philippine Area of Responsibility ang Typhoon "Mangkhut" at may local name na #OmpongPH

    Unang daraanan nito ang probinsya ng Catanduanes bago tawirin ang Cagayan-Batanes area sa Sabado





    https://www.facebook.com/News5Everywhere/photos/a.182218585268237/1351047145052036/?type=3&theater
  • EgozumEgozum Member PEx Influencer ⭐⭐⭐

    MANILA, Philippines (UPDATED 7:50 p.m.)— Several local government units announced class suspensions for Thursday, September 13, in anticipation of the onslaught of Typhoon Ompong (international name: Mangkhut).The state weather bureau earlier said "Ompong" could potentially intensify into a super typhoon.View the updated list of class suspensions here:All levels
    Quezon City – (September 14 and 15 only)Abra
    Apalit, Pampanga
    Aringay, La Union
    Balaoan, La Union
    Bangar, La Union 
    Sudipen, La Union
    Marilao, Bulacan
    Obando, Bulacan
    Isabela
    Candelaria, Quezon
    Sorsogon
    Bauang, La Union – (Until September 15)
    Caba, La Union – (Until September 15)
    Naguilian, La Union – (Until September 14)
    San Gabriel, La Union – (Until September 15)
    San Juan, La Union – (Until September 14)Apayao – (Until September 15)
    Cagayan Province – Classes only on September 13; Classes and work on September 14-15
    Camarines Sur – (Until September 14)
    Dagupan City – (Until September 15)
    Ilocos Sur – Classes and work (Until September 14)
    Ilocos Norte – (Until September 14)
    Maasin, Leyte – (Until September 14)
    Arayat, Pampanga – (Until September 15)
    Masantol, Pampanga – (Until September 14)
    Santa Rita, Pampanga – (Until September 15)
    Tuguegarao – (Until September 14)
    Masinloc, Zambales – (Until September 14)
    Zambales except Olongapo– (Until September 14)
    Pre-school to High School
    Albay

  • EgozumEgozum Member PEx Influencer ⭐⭐⭐

    Signal No. 1 has been raised in Catanduanes as Typhoon Ompong entered the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR) on Wednesday afternoon.

    In its 5 p.m. weather bulletin, PAGASA said Catanduanes would experience the peripheral effects of Ompong within the next 36 hours, bringing occasional rains and gusty winds.

    PAGASA said Signal No. 1 may also be raised in the provinces of Cagayan, Isabela, Aurora, Camarines Norte and Camarines Sur on Thursday morning.

    At 4 p.m., PAGASA spotted Ompong at 1,145 kilometers east of Virac, Catanduanes packing maximum sustained winds of 205 kilometers per hour and gustiness of up to 255 kilometers per hour.

    Ompong is also expected to become a super typhoon with a peak intensity of 220 kph  to 270 kph (maximum sustained winds/gustiness) on Thursday, PAGASA said.

    It is expected to make landfall in the northern tip of Cagayan on Saturday and is seen to leave the PAR on Sunday afternoon.

    Entry into PAR

    Ompong, or the Typhoon Mangkhut that wreaked havoc in Guam, entered the Philippine Area of Responsibility at 3 p.m. on Wednesday.

    The National Disaster Risk Reduction and Management Council (NDRRMC) on Wednesday warned that the public may start to experience heavy rainfalls by Thursday due to Typhoon Ompong.

    According to the NDRRMC, Ompong is expected to affect Northern Luzon, Cagayan, the Cordilleras, and Central Luzon.

    However, the typhoon is expected to enhance the Southwest Monsoon, which in turn will bring rains over the Visayas, MIMAROPA, Zamboanga peninsula, Northern Mindanao and CARAGA.

    "As it approaches malakas na 'yung pagulan eh. Kung tatama man siya sa lupa, expected landfall is early morning of Saturday. Pero 'yung malakas na pagulan, Friday pa lang mararamdaman na even Thursday," NDRRMC Undersecretary Ricardo Jalad said in a press briefing.

    Jalad noted that preemptive evacuation of residents in flood-prone areas must start by later part of Thursday up to Friday, adding that the Department of Interior and Local Government (DILG) is already releasing advisories to local government units for evacuation measures.

    "Preemptive evacuation talaga ang kailangan diyan, 'yung mga communities prone to storm surge ay kailangan talaga ievacuate... kailangan natin ngayon 'yung assessment kung magkakaron ba talaga ng storm surge. Kailangan mabilis magdecide 'yung local chief executive kung kailangan na ba magevacuate," Jalad said.

  • EgozumEgozum Member PEx Influencer ⭐⭐⭐

    SEVERE WEATHER BULLETIN #1
    FOR:Typhoon #OmpongPH 
    Tropical Cyclone: WARNING

    ISSUED AT:5:00 PM, 12 September 2018

    TYPHOON MANGKHUT HAS ENTERED THE PHILIPPINE AREA OF RESPONSIBILITY AND WAS NAMED "OMPONG".

    Typhoon OMPONG entered the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR) at 3:00 PM this afternoon. The typhoon continues to threaten Northern Luzon.

    The province of Catanduanes will experience the peripheral effects of OMPONG within the next 36 hours, bringing occasional rains and gusty winds 
    The typhoon may reach a peak intensity of 220 / 270 kph (max/gust) tomorrow (September 13).

    TY OMPONG is expected to make landfall in the northern tip of Cagayan on Saturday (September 15).
    TCWS #1 may be raised in provinces of Cagayan, Isabela, Aurora, Camarines Norte and Camarines Sur tomorrow morning (September 13).

    Location of eye/center: At 4:00 PM today, the eye of Typhoon "OMPONG" was located based on all available data at 1,145 km East of Virac, Catanduanes (14.0 °N, 134.8 °E)
    Strength: Maximum sustained winds of 205 km/h near the center and gustiness of up to 255 km/h
    Forecast Movement: Moving West at 20 km/h

    Forecast Positions: 
    24 Hour(Tomorrow afternoon): 820 km East of Daet, Camarines Norte(14.9°N, 130.5°E)

    48 Hour(Friday afternoon):450 km Northeast of Daet, Camarines Norte(16.8°N, 126.1°E)

    72 Hour(Saturday afternoon): 70 km North of Laoag City, Ilocos Norte(18.8°N, 120.7°E)

    96 Hour(Sunday afternoon):610 km West Northwest of Laoag City, Ilocos Norte (OUTSIDE PAR)(20.7°N, 115.4°E)

    120 Hour(Monday afternoon):1,275 km West Northwest of Laoag City, Ilocos Norte (OUTSIDE PAR)(22.0°N, 109.1°E)

    TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING SIGNAL
    TCWS #1 (30-60kph expected in 36 hrs)

    Catanduanes

    ->Very light or no damage to high risk structures,
    ->Light damage to medium to low risk structures
    ->Slight damage to some houses of very light materials or makeshift structures in exposed communities. Some banana plants are tilted, a few downed and leaves are generally damaged
    ->Twigs of small trees may be broken.
    ->Rice crops, however, may suffer significant damage when it is in its flowering stage.

    Wave Height: (Open Sea) 1.25-4.0 meters

    The public and the disaster risk reduction and management council concerned are advised to take appropriate actions and watch for the next Severe Weather Bulletin to be issued at 11 PM today.

  • EgozumEgozum Member PEx Influencer ⭐⭐⭐

    Ulan ni 'Ompong', maaaring lagpasan ang 'Ondoy': PAGASA

    ABS-CBN News

    Posted at Sep 12 2018 02:54 PM | Updated as of Sep 12 2018 08:43 PM

    Maaaring pantayan o lagpasan pa ng bagyong "Ompong," na pumasok sa Pilipinas nitong Miyerkoles, Setyembre 12, 2018, ang dami ng ulang ibinagsak sa bansa noong 2009 ng bagyong "Ondoy," ayon sa PAGASA. Nagsimula nang maramdaman sa Pilipinas ang Ompong (may international name na Mangkhut) pagkapasok sa Philippine area of responsibility (PAR) nitong hapon ng Miyerkoles. Naging maulan sa Kamaynilaan at nagkaroon ng ilang insidente ng pagbaha. 
    PAGASA-DOST
    ✔@dost_pagasa
    As of 3:00PM today, pumasok na sa PAR si TY "#OmpongPH".4:02 PM - Sep 12, 2018
    1,069
    603 people are talking about this
    Twitter Ads info and privacyNasa 1,145 kilometers silangan ng Virac, Catanduanes ang bagyo pagdating ng alas-6 ng gabi ng Miyerkoles. Taglay nito ang lakas ng hanging aabot sa 205 kilometer per hour (kph), pagbugsong pumapalo sa 255 kph, at diameter na 900 kilometer.Ayon pa sa Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration (PAGASA), posibleng umabot ang lakas ng bagyo sa 220 kph at pagbugsong umaabot sa 270 kph. Dagdag ng ahensiya, maaari pa raw lagpasan nito ang ulang dinulot ng Ondoy (may international name na Ketsana) noong 2009, kapag pinalakas nito ang habagat."Kamukha din noong panahon ni Ondoy, habagat din 'yun. So kung may habagat din siya plus 'yung ulan mismo ay nanggagaling sa bagyo, so puwede siyang (tubig) tumaas. Puwedeng abutin si Ondoy, puwedeng lagpasan ang Ondoy dahil meron itong sinasabi natin na habagat," paliwanag ni PAGASA administrator Dr. Vincent Malano sa isang press conference Miyerkoles ng umaga.
    ABS-CBN News Channel
    ✔@ANCALERTS
    The rains brought by Typhoon Mangkhut, which is expected to intensify the southwest monsoon, may match or exceed the torrential rains caused by Ondoy in 2009, according to the PAGASA. #ANCRecap11:45 AM - Sep 12, 2018
    62
    61 people are talking about this
    Twitter Ads info and privacyAng malakas na hangin ng bagyo ay maaaring magdulot ng malakas na alon at ulan, na puwedeng magresulta sa landslide, pagbaha, at pati na mga storm surge, ayon sa PAGASA. Posible raw ang storm surge sa coastal areas ng Eastern at Nothern Cagayan, kasama ang Aparri, na aabot sa 6 metro. Delikado rin sa coastal areas ng Ilocos Region dahil malakas at mataas din ang alon doon pagdaan ng bagyo.Ang bagyo ay inaasahan ding magpapaibayo ng habagat na magdudulot ng ulan sa Palawan, Mindoro, at Western Visayas sa Biyernes at Sabado. Inaasahan ang malalakas na ulan at bugso ng hangin sa Northern Luzon at ilang bahagi ng Central at Southern Luzon. Inaasahang tatama ang bagyo sa Ilocos Sur, Ilocos Norte, La Union, Pangasinan, Isabela, Cagayan, Batanes, Nueva Vizcaya, at Quirino. View image on TwitterView image on Twitter
    ABS-CBN News
    ✔@ABSCBNNews
    Replying to @ABSCBNNews @dost_pagasaLOOK: Forecast track of #OmpongPH | via @dost_pagasa6:03 PM - Sep 12, 2018
    51
    36 people are talking about this
    Twitter Ads info and privacyInaasahan ng PAGASA ang storm signal sa ilang bahagi ng Northern Luzon Miyerkoles ng hapon. Nakataas na ang Tropical Storm (TS) Signal Number 1 sa Catanduanes, ayon sa PAGASA nitong Miyerkoles ng hapon. Maaari ding itaas ang TS Signal Number 1 sa Cagayan, Isabela, Aurora, Camarines Norte, at Camarines Sur umaga ng Huwebes. Pagdating ng Huwebes, makararanas naman ng ulan ang Palawan, Bicol Region, at Eastern Visayas. Sa Biyernes (Setyembre 14) naman magdadala ng pag-ulan ang habagat sa Palawan, Zamboanga Peninsula, Western at Central Visayas.Magiging maulap naman ang panahon sa Metro Manila sa Biyernes. Inaasahan ang mahina hanggang sa katamtamang ulan na may tsansa ng paminsan-minsang malalakas na bugso ng ulan sa Biyernes, Setyembre 14, at Sabado, Setyembre 15.Inaasahan ding mag-landfall sa hilagang bahagi ng Cagayan ang bagyo umaga ng Sabado, Setyember 15. Walang pasok, mga paghahandaNagsuspende na rin ng klase ang ilang lugar dahil sa bagyo. #WalangPasok: Setyembre 13, HuwebesBinabantayan din ng PAGASA ang isang low pressure area (LPA) na maaaring pumasok sa Pilipinas.Pinatanggal o pinababa na rin ng MMDA ang naglalakihang billboards at tarpaulins sa EDSA para hindi ito makapaminsala sakaling magdala si Ompong ng malakas na hangin. Bracing for Mangkhut, PNP to go on full alert ThursdayMay ilan ding maaga nang nag-ani ng kanilang mga tanim na gulay para hindi mapinsala ng bagyo. Ang Department of Health naman ay naka “white alert status” bilang paghahanda sa hagupit ni Ompong. 

  • EgozumEgozum Member PEx Influencer ⭐⭐⭐

    Extremely Catastrophic Super Typhoon #MANGKHUT (#OmpongPH) has maintained its strength as it speeds up, west-northwestward, in the general direction of Northern Luzon as it continues to endanger Cagayan Valley.

    Important Note: This howler is similar in strength and track of Super Typhoons ZEB (ILIANG) of 1998 and HAIMA (LAWIN) of 2016. Preparations in Northern and Central Luzon must be completed already as it is only less than 24 hours before it makes landfall.

    24-hr Outlook: STY MANGKHUT (OMPONG) is expected to continue accelerating west-northwestward with a forward speed of 29 km/hr, and shall make landfall along Northeastern Isabela and Eastern Cagayan early tomorrow morning (Sept 15). Some fluctuations in its wind speed is anticipated before it makes landfall, with a possible downgrading of this system into a Typhoon.

  • EgozumEgozum Member PEx Influencer ⭐⭐⭐

    12 areas under Signal No. 3 as Ompong accelerates

    Published September 14, 2018 3:35pm 
    Updated September 14, 2018 3:51pmBy MARGARET CLAIRE LAYUG, GMA NewsThe number of areas under Signal No. 3 climbed from 10 to 12 early Friday afternoon as Typhoon Ompong (international name: Mangkhut) continued to barrel toward northern Luzon.According to PAGASA's 2 p.m. update, areas under Signal No. 3 are the following:Cagayan incl. Babuyan group of Is.Ilocos NorteIlocos SurApayaoAbraKalingaMountain ProvinceIfugaoNueva VizcayaQuirinoNorthern AuroraIsabelaFor areas under Signal No. 3, PAGASA said winds of greater than 121 kph up to 170 kph may be expected within at least 18 hours. Residents are advised to seek shelter in strong buildings, evacuate low-lying areas, and to stay away from the coasts and river banks.PAGASA warned that travel in these areas will be "very risky" especially by sea and air, while widespread disruption of electrical power and communication services may be experienced.Meanwhile, PAGASA said the following areas are under Signal No. 2:BatanesLa UnionBenguetPangasinanTarlacNueva EcijaSouthern AuroraNorthern ZambalesUnder Signal No. 1, on the other hand, are the following areas:Southern ZambalesPampangaBulacanBataanRizalMetro ManilaCaviteBatangasLagunaQuezon incl. Polillo Is.Northern Occidental Mindoro incl. Lubang Is.Northern Oriental MindoroMasbateMarinduqueCamarines NorteCamarines SurCatanduanesAlbaySorsogonBurias and Ticao IslandsNorthern SamarOmpong fasterPAGASA said as of 1 p.m. Friday, the eye of Ompong was at 470 km East of Baler, Aurora, and was moving faster west northwest at 25 kph, up from the 20 kph at PAGASA's 11 a.m. update.Ompong packs maximum sustained winds of 205 kph near the center and gustiness of up to 255 kph.Ompong is forecast to make landfall early on Saturday in the Cayagan- Isabela area and will be the strongest of 15 storms to have hit the country this year.Medical and emergency response teams were on stand by, heavy equipment mobilized and more than P1.7 billion of relief goods prepared as the typhoon edged toward northern Luzon.Class suspensions have been announced as early as Wednesday in some areas in anticipation of Ompong, which will leave the Philippine Area of Responsibility on Sunday.Storm surgePAGASA warned residents in storm surge-prone areas in Cagayan and Isabela about the possibility of six-meter high storm surge.The bulletin said waves could reach up to 14 meters over seaboards of areas under Signal No. 3. PAGASA said storm surges are also possible for coastal areas under Signal No. 2, where wave heights could range from 4.1 to 14 meters over open seas are expected.In areas under Signal No. 1, waves can get as high as 4 meters over open seas.Fisherfolks and those with small seacrafts were advised not to venture out over seabords with TCWS and eastern seaboards of Visayas and Mindanao.HabagatPAGASA expects Typhoon Ompong to continue enhancing the effects of  Southwest Monsoon or Habagat.According to their 2 p.m. bulletin, Visayas may experience gusty winds with occasional moderate to heavy rains.Meanwhile, scattered light to moderate to at times heavy rains can be expected over Palawan, the Zamboanga Peninsula, Northern Mindanao and Caraga."Residents in these areas, especially those living near river channels, in low-lying areas and in mountain areas, are advised to take appropriate actions against possible flooding and landslides, coordinate with local disaster risk reduction management office, and to continue monitoring updates," PAGASA said.

  • EgozumEgozum Member PEx Influencer ⭐⭐⭐
    Signal No. 3 up over 13 areas as ‘Ompong’ speeds up

    Areas under Signal No. 3 increased from 10 to 13 by Friday afternoon as typhoon “Ompong” (international name: Mangkhut) accelerated closer to northern Luzon, the Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration (Pagasa) said.

    The following areas are placed under Signal No. 3:

    • Cagayan incl. Babuyan group of Is.
    • Ilocos Norte
    • Ilocos Sur
    • Apayao
    • Abra
    • Kalinga
    • Mountain Province
    • Ifugao
    • Nueva Vizcaya
    • Quirino
    • Northern Aurora
    • Isabela

    The following areas are placed under Signal No. 2:

    • Batanes
    • La Union
    • Benguet
    • Pangasinan
    • Tarlac
    • Nueva Ecija
    • Southern Aurora
    • Northern Zambales

    The following areas are placed under Signal No. 1:

    • Southern Zambales
    • Pampanga
    • Bulacan
    • Bataan
    • Rizal
    • Metro Manila
    • Cavite
    • Batangas
    • Laguna
    • Quezon incl. Polillo Is.
    • Northern Occidental Mindoro incl. Lubang Is.
    • Northern Oriental Mindoro
    • Masbate
    • Marinduque
    • Camarines Norte
    • Camarines Sur
    • Catanduanes
    • Albay
    • Sorsogon
    • Burias and Ticao Islands

    Ompong is expected to make landfall over Isabela-Cagayan area by Saturday morning. 

    It was moving west northwest at 25 kph, maintaining its maximum sustained winds of 205 kilometers per hour and gusts of up to 255 kph.

    The typhoon was last spotted 470 kilometers east of Baler, Aurora. 




  • EgozumEgozum Member PEx Influencer ⭐⭐⭐

    NDRRMC confirming casualty reports as Ompong nears land

    ABS-CBN News

    Posted at Sep 14 2018 08:31 PM
    MANILA - The National Disaster Risk Reduction and Management Council was verifying casualty reports in areas affected by Typhoon Ompong (international name: Mangkhut).Director Edgar Posadas, in a press briefing Friday, said they are still verifying reports of casualties, one in Bicol region, and another one in another area."We have reports of possible casualties but we have still to verify kung they are related to the current typhoon Ompong," he said.Posadas also said around 4 million residents will affected by the typhoon. The number will change depending on the typhoon track.State weather bureau PAGASA placed Cagayan and northern Isabela under Tropical Cyclone Warning Signal No. 4 as winds of 171 to 220 kilometers per hour (kph) were expected to be felt within the next 12 hours.The typhoon is likely to make landfall around 4 a.m. Saturday, PAGASA weather specialist Gener Quitlong and ABS-CBN resident weather specialist Nilo Millanes said.
    Ompong, the strongest typhoon to hit the Philippines this year, slightly gained speed and is now moving northwest at 30 kph from 25 kph Friday afternoon, PAGASA said.As of 4 p.m., Ompong was last spotted 340 kms east northeast of Casiguran, Aurora, still packing maximum sustained winds of 205 kph with 255 kph gusts.

  • EgozumEgozum Member PEx Influencer ⭐⭐⭐
    Signal No. 4 in four areas in northern Luzon as 'Ompong' closes in
    September 14, 2018 - 9:07pm

    MANILA, Philippines — Signal No. 4 has been raised in Apayao and Abra Friday evening as Typhoon “Ompong” (international name: Mangkhut) moves closer to Luzon. 

    Previously, state weather bureau PAGASA has placed Cagayan and northern Isabela under Signal No. 4 as these were the possible places where Ompong will make landfall.


    As of 8 p.m., “Ompong” was seen 260 km east northeast of Casiguran, Aurora with maximum winds of up to 205 kilometers per hour and gustiness of up to 255 kilometers per hour.

    The typhoon continues to move 30 kilometers per hour northwest.

    Tropical cyclone warning signals have been also raised in the following areas:

    Signal No. 4 (Winds of 171 to 220 kph within 12 hours)

    • Apayao
    • Abra
    • Cagayan
    • Northern Isabela

    Signal No. 3 (Winds of 121 to 170 kph within 18 hours)

    • Batanes
    • Babuyan Group of Islands
    • Southern Isabela
    • Ilocos Norte
    • Ilocos Sur
    • La Union
    • Kalinga
    • Mt. Province
    • Benguet
    • Ifugao
    • Nueva Vizcaya
    • Quirino 
    • Northern Aurora

    Signal No. 2 (Winds of 61 to 120 kph within 24 hours)

    • Pangasinan
    • Tarlac
    • Nueva Ecija
    • Southern Aurora
    • Zambales
    • Pampanga
    • Bulacan 
    • Northern Quezon including Polillo Island

    Signal No. 1 (Winds of 30 to 60 kph within 36 hours)

    • Bataan 
    • Rizal
    • Metro Manila
    • Cavite
    • Batangas
    • Laguna
    • Rest of Quezon
    • Northern Occidental Mindoro, including Lubang Island
    • Northern Oriental Mindoro
    • Masbate
    • Marinduque
    • Camarines Norte
    • Camarines Sur
    • Catanduanes
    • Albay
    • Sorsogon
    • Burias and Ticao Islands

    Stormy weather is expected over areas under Signal Nos. 2 and 4. Those under Signal No. 1 will experience occasional rains and gusty winds. 

    “Ompong” is forecast to hit the Cagayan-Isabela landmass early Saturday morning. 

    Weather officials said that the typhoon—the strongest to hit the country this year—will bring intense winds, which will leave considerable damage to structure and will uproot trees and down electric posts. 

    PAGASA urged those living in the path of “Ompong," especially residents vulnerable to storm surge, should consider evacuating.



  • EgozumEgozum Member PEx Influencer ⭐⭐⭐

    Four areas were placed under Signal No. 4 as typhoon “Ompong” (international name: Mangkhut) moved closer to Isabela and Cagayan, the state weather bureau said Friday evening. 


    Based on the 8 p.m. bulletin of the Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration (Pagasa), storm signal warnings were hoisted over the following areas:

    Signal No. 4

    • Cagayan
    • Northern Isabela
    • Apayao
    • Abra

    Signal No. 3

    • Batanes
    • Babuyan Group of Is.
    • Southern Isabela
    • Ilocos Norte
    • Ilocos Sur
    • La Union
    • Kalinga
    • Mountain Province
    • Benguet
    • Ifugao
    • Nueva Vizcaya
    • Quirino
    • Northern Aurora

    Signal No. 2

    • Pangasinan
    • Tarlac
    • Nueva Ecija
    • Southern Aurora
    • Zambales
    • Pampanga
    • Bulacan
    • Northern Quezon, including Polillo Island

    Signal No. 1

    • Bataan
    • Rizal
    • Metro Manila
    • Cavite
    • Batangas
    • Laguna
    • Rest of Quezon
    • Northern Occidental Mindoro, including Lubang Island
    • Northern Oriental Mindoro
    • Masbate
    • Marinduque
    • Camarines Norte
    • Camarines Sur
    • Catanduanes
    • Albay
    • Sorsogon
    • Burias and Ticao Islands

    The eye of the typhoon was last spotted 260 kilometers east northeast of Casiguran, Aurora, Pagasa said.

    Ompong maintained its course of 30 kilometres per hour (kph) northwest, with maximum sustained winds of 205 kph near the center and gustiness of up to 255 kph.

    The typhoon — the strongest to hit the country this year — began lashing parts of Northern Luzon with heavy rains and powerful winds on Friday afternoon. Its projected landfall is on Saturday morning over Cagayan-Isabela area. 

    The National Disaster Risk Reduction and Management Council said over 5 million people are in the typhoon’s path. As of this posting, more than 30,000 people have already fled their homes ahead of the onslaught. 

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    Ompong’s estimated clout was 900 kilometers wide. It is expected to drop massive amounts of rainfall in Northern and Central Luzon.


    Ompong was last spotted 340 kilometers east northeast of Casiguran, Aurora and is expected to be out of the Philippine area of responsibility by Sunday afternoon.




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